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學術沙龍|貨币經濟學讨論班(第68期):人口結構與全球失衡的演變

發布時間:2024-10-12    點擊數:

分享論文

Demographics and the evolution of global imbalances (Journal of Monetary Economics, Michael Sposi, 2022)

分享人

張甜甜(金融學院,2022級博士生)

時間

2024年10月12日(周六)

下午15:00-17:00

地點

學術會堂712

主持人

王忏(金融學院)

趙軍柱(韦德体育bevictor中國經濟與管理研究院)

論文摘要

The age distribution influences capital flows through aggregate saving and labor supply. To quantify this, I build a dynamic model featuring overlapping generations and international trade among 28 countries since 1970. The equilibrium is replicated by a model with a representative household in each country that experiences an endogenous discount factor, which summarizes the co-evolution of demographics and relevant prices, affording computation of the exact transition. On average, a one-year increase a countries mean age boosts its current account by 0.4 percent of GDP. Bilateral trade frictions dictate the cross-country response of capital flows to changes in a countries demographics.

活動對象

韦德体育bevictor、金融學院學生

人數規模

30人

主辦單位

韦德体育bevictor中國經濟與管理研究院、金融學院聯合主辦

撰稿:張甜甜

審稿:趙軍柱

排版:曲泰萊

編輯:沈嘉怡

審核:王穎


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